Predictive Chemistry
Activity cliffs benchmark showing method rankings by RMSE on cliff compounds, with SVM plus ECFP outperforming deep learning approaches

Exposing Limitations of Molecular ML with Activity Cliffs

This paper benchmarks 24 machine and deep learning methods on activity cliff compounds (structurally similar molecules with large potency differences) across 30 macromolecular targets. Traditional ML with molecular fingerprints consistently outperforms graph neural networks and SMILES-based transformers on these challenging cases, especially in low-data regimes.